Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.