Liga MX Gameweek 14
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 1.00am
Queretaro 1 - 1 Juarez
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Mateo Coronel

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 4.00am
Necaxa 2 - 1 Mazatlan
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Javier Ruiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queretaro win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Necaxa has a probability of 32.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Necaxa win is 0-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).

Result

Queretaro 41.09%
Draw 26.21%
Necaxa 32.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.58% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.94% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.06% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 51.61% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.39% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.51% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.45% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.2% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.8% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Queretaro 30.17%
Draw 43.17%
Necaxa 26.66%

Team To Score First

Queretaro 48.01%
No Goal 6.61% (-0.01)
Necaxa 45.38% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.73%
Equal 8 10.75%
Under 8 23.52%
Over 9 54.02%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 34.27%
Over 10.5 42.38%
Under 10.5 57.62%

Queretaro Goals

Over 1.5 41.21% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 58.79% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 17.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.02)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 68.22% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 31.78% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 34.78% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.22% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.17% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.83% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Queretaro 41.1%
Draw 26.21%
Necaxa 32.71%
Queretaro
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.65% (+0.02)
Total : 41.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.21%
Necaxa
0-1 @ 7.93%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19%
Other @ 4.01% (+0.01)
Total : 32.71%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 19, 2025 2.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Mar 29, 2025 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Jose Rodriguez 11' goal
  • Jose Rodriguez 11' goal
  • Jose Rodriguez 31' yellowcard
  • Jose Rodriguez 31' yellowcard
  • Tomas Badaloni 45' yellowcard
  • Tomas Badaloni 45' yellowcard
  • Agustin Palavecino 66' yellowcard
  • Agustin Palavecino 66' yellowcard
  • Alexis Pena 81' goal
  • Alexis Pena 81' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Hernandez 29'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Hernandez 29'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Federico Lertora 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Canale 34' yellowcard
  • Federico Lertora 34' yellowcard
  • Jose Canale 34' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Hernandez 65' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Hernandez 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 36'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 36'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Mayorga 80'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Mayorga 80'
Liga MX
May 3, 2024 2.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Diber Cambindo 56' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 56' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 19'
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 19'
  • goal Federico Lertora 59'
  • goal Federico Lertora 59'
Liga MX Gameweek 7
Feb 17, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • 13' goal
  • Emilio Martinez 25' goal
  • Emilio Martinez 25' goal
  • Miguel Barbieri 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Miguel Barbieri 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Federico Lertora 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Miguel Barbieri 45'+5' redcard
  • Federico Lertora 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Miguel Barbieri 45'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Alan Montes 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Alan Montes 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 84'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 84'
  • goal Diego Gomez 90'+3'
  • goal Diego Gomez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexis Pena 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Alexis Pena 90'+5'
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Emilio Martinez 13' yellowcard
  • Facundo Batista 58' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 70' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Tapia 3'
  • yellowcard Federico Lertora 17'
  • goal Angel Sepulveda 51'
  • yellowcard Jaime Gomez 55'
  • yellowcard Angel Sepulveda 61'