Liga MX Gameweek 11
Mar 14, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla vs Necaxa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.06am
Pachuca 2 - 1 Puebla
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Edgar Guerra

Necaxa

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.00am
Necaxa 0 - 1 Pumas
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Julian Carranza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Necaxa win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Puebla has a probability of 36.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Puebla win is 2-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result

Puebla 36.98%
Draw 23.66%
Necaxa 39.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.1%
Under 1.5 18.9%
Over 2.5 59.64%
Under 2.5 40.33%
Over 3.5 36.38%
Under 3.5 63.62%
Over 4.5 21.81%
Under 4.5 78.19%

First Half Winner

Puebla 29.17%
Draw 38.32%
Necaxa 32.51%

Team To Score First

Puebla 44.42%
No Goal 4.74%
Necaxa 50.84%

Corners

Over 8 64.06%
Equal 8 10.6%
Under 8 25.34%
Over 9 52.72%
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 35.94%
Over 10.5 41.57%
Under 10.5 58.43%

Puebla Goals

Over 1.5 41.2%
Under 1.5 58.8%
Over 2.5 17.98%
Under 2.5 82.02%
Over 3.5 6.43%
Under 3.5 93.57%

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5 73.78%
Under 0.5 26.22%
Over 1.5 43.49%
Under 1.5 56.51%
Over 2.5 19.78%
Under 2.5 80.22%
Over 3.5 7.76%
Under 3.5 92.24%

Score analysis

Puebla 36.98%
Draw 23.65%
Necaxa 39.37%
Puebla
2-1 @ 8.4%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.08%
3-0 @ 2.89%
Other @ 6.25%
Total : 36.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.65%
Necaxa
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 3.15%
Other @ 7.58%
Total : 39.37%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Sep 20, 2025 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 17
Apr 19, 2025 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Raul Castillo 43' yellowcard
  • Raul Castillo 43' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 57' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Gularte 57' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Paradela 44'
  • goal Jose Paradela 44'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Paradela 60'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 12.00am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Agustin Palavecino 11' goal
  • Agustin Palavecino 11' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 15' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 15' goal
  • Fernando Arce 36' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 36' yellowcard
  • Diber Cambindo 52' goal
  • Diber Cambindo 52' goal
  • Kevin Rosero 76' goal
  • Kevin Rosero 76' goal
  • Jose Paradela 80' yellowcard
  • Jose Paradela 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Manuel De la Torre 37'
  • yellowcard Jose Manuel de la Torre Menchaca 37'
  • goal Rafael Duran 87'
  • goal Rafael Duran 87'
Liga MX Gameweek 2
Jan 20, 2024 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cuauhtemoc
  • Lucas Cavallini 59' goal
  • Lucas Cavallini 59' goal
  • Sebastian Olmedo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Olmedo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 27'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 27'
  • yellowcard Alan Montes 56'
  • yellowcard Alan Montes 56'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 79'
  • goal Edgar Mendez 79'
  • yellowcard Andres Colorado 81'
  • yellowcard Andres Colorado 81'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 83'
  • goal Diber Cambindo 83'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Heriberto Jurado 33' yellowcard
  • Heriberto Jurado 33' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 55' goal
  • Edgar Mendez 55' goal
  • Bryan Garnica 83' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 88' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 88' yellowcard
  • Braian Samudio 89' redcard
  • Braian Samudio 89' redcard
  • Vicente Poggi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Vicente Poggi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 12'
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 12'
  • goal Diego de Buen 36'
  • goal Diego de Buen 36'
  • yellowcard Brayan Angulo 41'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 41'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 41'
  • yellowcard Kevin Velasco 60'
  • yellowcard Kevin Velasco 60'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 15, 2023 2.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
  • Emanuel Gularte 58' goal
  • goal Guillermo Martinez 70'