Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.