Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.33% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%) , while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.