Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.