Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 19, 2026 4.10am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Banorte
  • Brian Rodríguez 44' goal
  • Brian Rodríguez 50' goal
  • Ramón Juárez 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Álvarez 57' yellowcard
  • Alan Cervantes 80' yellowcard
  • Thiago Espinosa 86' yellowcard
  • José Raúl Zúñiga 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Helinho 46'
  • goal Miguel Vázquez 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 63'
  • yellowcard Franco Rossi 89'
  • yellowcard Pável Pérez 89'

Club America vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.05am
America 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Brian Rodríguez

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 2.00am
Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Club America 37.18%
Draw 27.31% (-0.02)
Toluca 35.47% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.33% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 29.67% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 45.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.8% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 77.2% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.91% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.09% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Club America 31.01%
Draw 41.44%
Toluca 27.55%

Team To Score First

Club America 49.22%
No Goal 8.88% (+0.02)
Toluca 41.9% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.57% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 35.21% (-0.02)
Over 9 40.61% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 47.43% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.89%
Under 10.5 70.11%

Club America Goals

Over 1.5 34.22% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.78% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.52% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.48% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.6%
Under 3.5 96.4%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 67.49% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.51% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 32.89% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 67.11% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.91% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.38%
Under 3.5 96.62%

Score analysis

Club America 37.19%
Draw 27.32%
Toluca 35.47%
Club America
1-0 @ 10.65% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 37.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.32%
Toluca
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Nov 9, 2025 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX
May 26, 2025 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Luan Garcia 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 65' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 78'
Liga MX
May 23, 2025 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 6' goal
  • Brian Rodriguez 16' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Zendejas 51' goal
  • Ramon Juarez 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 57'
Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Federico Pereira 80' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 84' redcard
  • Helinho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 0'
  • goal 0'
  • yellowcard Ramon Juarez 29'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aguirre 32'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 49' (OG)
  • goal Henry Martin 72'
Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • <TBD> 29' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'