Liga MX Gameweek 15
Apr 19, 2026 4.10am
Estadio Banorte

Club America vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.05am
America 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Brian Rodríguez

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 2.00am
Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Club America win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 35.54% and a draw has a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Toluca win is 0-1 (10.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

Club America 37.18% (-2.65)
Draw 27.32% (-0.24)
Toluca 35.54% (+2.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.45% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.39% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 29.61% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 45.06% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.94% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 22.83% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 77.17% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 11.92% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.08% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Club America 31.01% (-0.20)
Draw 41.44% (-0.68)
Toluca 27.55% (+0.90)

Team To Score First

Club America 49.22% (+0.65)
No Goal 8.87% (-0.21)
Toluca 41.91% (-0.46)

Corners

Over 8 52.55% (-3.07)
Equal 8 12.22% (-0.05)
Under 8 35.23% (+3.11)
Over 9 40.6% (-2.70)
Equal 9 11.96% (-0.36)
Under 9 47.45% (+3.07)
Over 10.5 29.89% (-2.15)
Under 10.5 70.11% (+2.16)

Club America Goals

Over 1.5 34.23% (-1.87)
Under 1.5 65.77% (+1.86)
Over 2.5 12.53% (-1.07)
Under 2.5 87.47% (+1.07)
Over 3.5 3.6% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 96.4% (+0.56)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 67.57% (+2.28)
Under 0.5 32.43% (-2.29)
Over 1.5 32.94% (+2.18)
Under 1.5 67.06% (-2.18)
Over 2.5 12.11% (+1.17)
Under 2.5 87.89% (-1.16)
Over 3.5 3.38% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 96.62% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Club America 37.18%
Draw 27.33%
Toluca 35.53%
Club America
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.77)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.53% (-0.60)
Total : 37.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 8.87% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.23)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.05)
Total : 27.33%
Toluca
0-1 @ 10.14% (+0.59)
1-2 @ 8.31% (+0.63)
0-2 @ 5.85% (+0.62)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.27)
0-3 @ 2.69% (+0.40)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.31% (+0.25)
Total : 35.53%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Nov 9, 2025 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX
May 26, 2025 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Luan Garcia 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 65' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Luis Garcia 90' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Caceres 78'
Liga MX
May 23, 2025 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Caceres 29' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 11'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 55'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 1, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • Alvaro Fidalgo 6' goal
  • Brian Rodriguez 16' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Zendejas 51' goal
  • Ramon Juarez 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Borja 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Paulinho 57'
Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Federico Pereira 80' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 84' redcard
  • Helinho 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 0'
  • goal 0'
  • yellowcard Ramon Juarez 29'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aguirre 32'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 49' (OG)
  • goal Henry Martin 72'
Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Azteca
  • <TBD> 29' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • Rodrigo Aguirre 82' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 21'