Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.