Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.