Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.04% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%) , while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.