Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.