Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Q2 Stadium

Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 23, 2026 7.45pm
St Louis City 3 - 0 Austin
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Myrto Uzuni

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 3.30am
Seattle 1 - 5 Portland
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Paul Rothrock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Austin FC has a probability of 35.38% and a draw has a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Austin FC win is 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Austin FC 35.38%
Draw 25.19%
Seattle Sounders 39.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.54% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.46% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 53.25% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.75% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.43% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 69.57% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.08% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.92% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 26.18%
Draw 42.88%
Seattle Sounders 30.94%

Team To Score First

Austin FC 42.72%
No Goal 6.43%
Seattle Sounders 50.85%

Corners

Over 8 64.23% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 25.04% (-0.02)
Over 9 52.7%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 35.77% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 41.38%
Under 10.5 58.62%

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 36.91% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.09% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.78% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.61% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.39% (-0.02)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5 72.84% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.46% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.54% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.79% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.21% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Austin FC 35.38%
Draw 25.2%
Seattle Sounders 39.4%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.55% (+0.01)
Total : 35.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 25.2%
Seattle Sounders
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79%
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 39.4%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 22, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 3.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 58' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 58' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 77' redcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Yeimar Gomez Andrade 34'
  • yellowcard Yeimar Gomez Andrade 34'
  • goal Jordan Morris 63'
  • goal Jordan Morris 63'
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT CenturyLink Field
  • Xavier Arreaga 22' yellowcard
  • Xavier Arreaga 22' yellowcard
  • Jordan Morris 83' yellowcard
  • Jordan Morris 83' yellowcard
  • Josh Atencio 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Josh Atencio 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 48'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 48'
  • yellowcard Zan Kolmanic 57'
  • yellowcard Zan Kolmanic 57'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 57'
  • yellowcard Owen Wolff 89'
  • yellowcard O. Wolff 89'
  • yellowcard O. Wolff 89'
  • yellowcard Owen Wolff 89'
  • yellowcard Julio Cascante 90'+6'
  • yellowcard 90'+9'
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Gyasi Zardes 46' yellowcard
  • Gyasi Zardes 46' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 53' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 53' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 72' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 72' goal
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 37'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 37'
  • goal Jordan Morris 48'
  • goal Jordan Morris 48'
  • yellowcard Nouhou Tolo 87'
  • yellowcard Nouhou Tolo 87'
  • goal Albert Rusnak 90'
  • goal Albert Rusnak 90'
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 3.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stubhub Center
  • Fredy Montero 79' goal
  • Fredy Montero 79' goal
  • goal Ethan Finlay 36'
  • goal Ethan Finlay 36'
  • goal Gyasi Zardes 57'
  • goal Gyasi Zardes 57'