Major League Soccer
Seattle
May 14, 2026 2.30am
Lumen Field
Earthquakes

Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.30am
Seattle 1 - 1 San Diego
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Paul Rothrock

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 1 Vancouver
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw has a probability of 24.31% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.18%) , while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it is 0-1 (6.25%).

Result

Seattle Sounders 51.5% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 24.31% ▼ (-0.20)
San Jose Earthquakes 24.22% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.03% ▼ (-0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.41% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 1.5 21.59% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 55.69% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 44.31% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 3.5 33.8% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 3.5 66.2% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 4.5 19.98% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 80.02% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Seattle Sounders 40.8% ▲ (+1.31)
Draw 37.9% ▼ (-1.00)
San Jose Earthquakes 21.3% ▼ (-0.33)

Team To Score First

Seattle Sounders 59.87% ▲ (+1.05)
No Goal 5.68% ▲ (+0.20)
San Jose Earthquakes 34.45% ▼ (-1.25)

Corners

Over 8 60.83% ▼ (-0.90)
Equal 8 11.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 27.74% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 9 48.88% ▼ (-0.90)
Equal 9 11.95%
Under 9 39.17% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 10.5 37.46% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 10.5 62.54% ▲ (+0.83)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 1.5 51.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 48.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 25.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 74.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.74% ▼ (-0.06)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 61.73% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 38.27% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 29.01% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 70.99% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 2.5 9.75% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 90.25% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 2.92% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.08% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Seattle Sounders 51.5%
Draw 24.31%
San Jose Earthquakes 24.21%
Seattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.28)
1-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 51.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 24.31%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.21)
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 24.21%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Mar 15, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT PayPal Park
Seattle
  • Vítor Costa 57' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 77' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 77' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Rothrock 20'
  • yellowcard Albert Rusnák 46'
  • yellowcard Cristian Roldán 65'
  • yellowcard Álex Roldán 65'
  • yellowcard Osaze De Rosario 65'
  • yellowcard Snyder Brunell 86'
Major League Soccer
Seattle
Jul 20, 2025 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Earthquakes Stadium
Seattle
  • Beau Leroux 32' goal
  • Beau Leroux 32' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 35' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 35' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 59' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 59' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Rusnak 80'
  • goal Albert Rusnak 80'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Seattle
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
2
2
HT : 4 2
FT CenturyLink Field
Earthquakes
  • Jordan Morris 21' goal
  • Jordan Morris 21' goal
  • Jordan Morris 39' goal
  • Jordan Morris 39' goal
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 16'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 16'
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 20'
  • yellowcard Hernan Lopez 20'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 38'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 38'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 51'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 51'
  • goal Paul Marie 89'
  • goal Paul Marie 89'
Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Avaya Stadium
Seattle
  • Vitor Costa 42' goal
  • Vitor Costa 42' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 43' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 43' goal
  • Benji Kikanovic 70' yellowcard
  • Benji Kikanovic 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 82' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 82' goal
  • Jack Skahan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Teves 52'
  • yellowcard Dylan Teves 52'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 64'
  • yellowcard Jackson Ragen 64'
  • goal Raul Ruidiaz 72'
  • goal Raul Ruidiaz 72'
  • goal Daniel Musovski 81'
  • goal Daniel Musovski 81'
Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stanford Stadium
Seattle
  • Cristian Espinoza 19' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 19' goal
  • Miguel Trauco 64' goal
  • Miguel Trauco 65' goal

Form Data

Seattle 1 - 1 San Diego
Kansas 1 - 1 Seattle
Seattle 2 - 1 Dallas
Seattle 4 - 1 St Louis City
Seattle 3 - 1 Tigres
Seattle 0 - 0 Salt Lake
Earthquakes 1 - 1 Vancouver
Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 4 - 2 Minnesota Utd
St Louis City 2 - 3 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 5 - 1 Austin
Los Angeles 1 - 4 Earthquakes