Major League Soccer
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
BMO Field

Toronto vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 1 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 2 - 3 Earthquakes
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Toronto has a probability of 36.29% and a draw has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Toronto win is 1-0 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.27%).

Result

Toronto 36.29% (-1.50)
Draw 26.79% (-0.31)
San Jose Earthquakes 36.92% (+1.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.32% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 25.68% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 50.18% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 49.82% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 29% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 71% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 16.06% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 83.94% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Toronto 30.12%
Draw 42.95%
San Jose Earthquakes 26.93%

Team To Score First

Toronto 48.63% (+0.09)
No Goal 7.31% (-0.17)
San Jose Earthquakes 44.06% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 63.45%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 25.29%
Over 9 51.41%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 36.55%
Over 10.5 39.69%
Under 10.5 60.31%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 36.95% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 63.05% (+1.02)
Over 2.5 15.28% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 84.72% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 5.07% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 94.93% (+0.15)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 70.59% (+1.27)
Under 0.5 29.41% (-1.27)
Over 1.5 37.44% (+1.47)
Under 1.5 62.56% (-1.47)
Over 2.5 14.4% (+0.89)
Under 2.5 85.6% (-0.89)
Over 3.5 4.8% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 95.2% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Toronto 36.29%
Draw 26.78%
San Jose Earthquakes 36.91%
Toronto
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.47)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.37)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.16)
Other @ 4.91% (-0.14)
Total : 36.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.78%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 9.41% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 8.21% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 6.26% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.55% (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.64% (+0.36)
Total : 36.91%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Avaya Stadium
Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Deandre Kerr 71' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 75' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 26'
  • goal Jack Skahan 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tommy Thompson 33' yellowcard
  • Andres Rios 53' goal
  • Jackson Yueill 70' yellowcard
  • Guram Kashia 81' yellowcard
  • Oswaldo Alanis 90' goal
  • goal Alejandro Pozuelo 40'
  • goal Richie Laryea 51'
  • yellowcard Jozy Altidore 71'
  • yellowcard Tsubasa Endoh 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
May 27, 2019 12.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
  • Richie Laryea 28' goal
  • Liam Fraser 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tommy Thompson 33'
  • goal Chris Wondolowski 37'
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 64'
  • yellowcard Magnus Eriksson 69'
  • goal Chris Wondolowski 81'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Aug 19, 2018 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Guram Kashia 52' yellowcard
  • Chris Wondolowski 77' goal
  • goal Lucas Janson 59'
Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2017 10.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Victor Vazquez 26' goal
  • Jozy Altidore 48' goal
  • Jozy Altidore 64' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 66' goal
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 43'
  • yellowcard Marco Urena 57'
  • redcard Darwin Ceren 72'