Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.