Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.