Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Boston Stadium

New England Revolution vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 24, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 1 - 0 New England
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Peyton Miller

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 12.30am
Montreal 0 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw has a probability of 25.29% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Toronto win it is 0-1 (6.47%).

Result

New England Revolution 53.55% (+0.09)
Draw 25.29%
Toronto 21.13% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.68% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.32% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 46.98% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 53.02% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 26.41% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 73.59% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 15.47% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.53% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 38.57% (+0.10)
Draw 40.01% (+0.04)
Toronto 21.42% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 54.57% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.54% (+0.01)
Toronto 36.89%

Corners

Over 8 63.2% (+0.38)
Equal 8 11.3% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.51% (-0.36)
Over 9 51.13% (+0.35)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.05)
Under 9 36.8% (-0.38)
Over 10.5 39.4% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 60.6% (-0.27)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 47.53% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.47% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.41% (+0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 53.93% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 46.07% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 22.52% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 77.48% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 7.48% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.52% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.08% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 53.55%
Draw 25.29%
Toronto 21.12%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 13.27% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.35% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 8.41% (-0.02)
Total : 53.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.29%
Toronto
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.9% (-0.03)
Total : 21.12%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 14, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 3, 2025 9.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
  • goal Carles Gil 11'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Campana 26'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 27'
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Raoul Petretta 8' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 8' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 42' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 42' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 65' yellowcard
  • Matty Longstaff 65' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • yellowcard Nacho Gil 29'
  • yellowcard Nacho Gil 29'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 42'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 42'
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 27'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 73'
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 87'
  • yellowcard Ayomide Akinola 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Bobby Wood 33' goal
  • Bobby Wood 33' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 52' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 52' goal
  • goal Deandre Kerr 11'
  • goal Deandre Kerr 11'
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
  • goal Bobby Wood 19'
  • goal DeJuan Jones 62'