Major League Soccer
May 24, 2026 1.30am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Soldier Field
  • Robin Lod 22' goal
  • Djé D'Avilla 61' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 61' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 62' yellowcard
  • Andrew Gutman 65' goal
  • P. Dithejane 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Chris Mueller 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Sargent  34'
  • yellowcard Zane Monlouis  46'
  • yellowcard Emilio Aristizábal 61'
  • yellowcard Theo Corbeanu  74'
  • yellowcard Theo Corbeanu  75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Jules-Anthony Vilsaint 85'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 85'
  • yellowcard Raheem Edwards 86'

Chicago Fire vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 16, 2026 9.30pm
Montreal 0 - 2 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 17, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 3 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw has a probability of 22.35% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Toronto win it is 0-1 (5.55%).

Result

Chicago Fire 59.11%
Draw 22.35%
Toronto 18.6% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.25% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.84% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 22.16% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 55.18% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.82% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.25% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.75% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.73% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.27% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 47.12%
Draw 35.46%
Toronto 17.42%

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 61.96%
No Goal 6.06%
Toronto 31.98%

Corners

Over 8 59.74%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 29.22%
Over 9 48.33%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 40.26%
Over 10.5 37.48%
Under 10.5 62.52%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 56.14% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.44%
Under 3.5 86.56%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 54.08% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 45.92% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 22.26% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.74% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.21% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.75%
Under 3.5 98.25%

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 59.12%
Draw 22.35%
Toronto 18.61%
Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.9% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.14%
3-2 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 13.27% (+0.01)
Total : 59.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 6.06%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 22.35%
Toronto
0-1 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Total : 18.61%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT BMO Field
  • Deandre Kerr 11' goal
  • goal Andrew Gutman 29'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 44'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT SeatGeek Stadium
  • Gaston Gimenez 17' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gimenez 17' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Dean 84' goal
  • Jonathan Dean 84' goal
  • Rafael Czichos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 45'+4'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 60'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 60'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 44' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 44' goal
  • goal Maren Haile-Selassie 41'
  • goal Maren Haile-Selassie 41'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 57'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 57'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 60'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 60'
  • goal Allan Arigoni 89'
  • goal Allan Arigoni 89'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Kacper Przybylko 90' goal
  • Kacper Przybylko 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field