Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.34% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.