Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.