Major League Soccer
May 16, 2026 9.30pm
Stade Saputo

CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 9.30pm
Montreal 2 - 0 Orlando City
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Wikelman José Carmona Torres

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 1 - 3 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CF Montreal win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 36.37% and a draw has a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 1-2 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

CF Montreal 37.86%
Draw 25.81%
Chicago Fire 36.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.18%
Under 1.5 19.82%
Over 2.5 58.58%
Under 2.5 41.42%
Over 3.5 35.9%
Under 3.5 64.1%
Over 4.5 20.96%
Under 4.5 79.04%

First Half Winner

CF Montreal 35.91%
Draw 37.53%
Chicago Fire 26.56%

Team To Score First

CF Montreal 53.82%
No Goal 5.42%
Chicago Fire 40.76%

Corners

Over 8 54.84%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 33.14%
Over 9 42.88%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 45.16%
Over 10.5 31.96%
Under 10.5 68.04%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 1.5 42.45%
Under 1.5 57.55%
Over 2.5 18.78%
Under 2.5 81.22%
Over 3.5 6.81%
Under 3.5 93.19%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 72.48%
Under 0.5 27.52%
Over 1.5 41.73%
Under 1.5 58.27%
Over 2.5 18.02%
Under 2.5 81.98%
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Score analysis

CF Montreal 37.85%
Draw 25.8%
Chicago Fire 36.37%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 8.52%
1-0 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.97%
Other @ 6.42%
Total : 37.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 7.02%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 25.8%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-1 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.77%
Other @ 6.38%
Total : 36.37%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Jonathan Bamba 27' goal
  • Joel Waterman 57' yellowcard
  • Djé D'Avilla 89' yellowcard
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Brandan Craig 46'
  • yellowcard Dawid Bugaj  63'
  • yellowcard Noah Streit 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ríos 72'
  • yellowcard Wikelman José Carmona Torres 78'
Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Philip Zinckernagel 40' goal
  • Philip Zinckernagel 40' goal
  • Andrew Gutman 47' yellowcard
  • Andrew Gutman 47' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 53' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 23'
  • goal Dante Sealy 50'
  • goal Dante Sealy 50'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Josef Martinez 21' goal
  • Josef Martinez 21' goal
  • George Campbell 40' yellowcard
  • George Campbell 40' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 6.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Tobias Salquist 11' yellowcard
  • Chase Gasper 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 45'+8' goal
  • Fabian Herbers 78' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 84' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+5' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 90'+9' goal
  • goal Matias Coccaro 7'
  • goal Matias Coccaro 12'
  • yellowcard Matias Coccaro 16'
  • goal Dominik Yankov 70'
  • redcard Raheem Edwards 82'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 90'+11'
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Mathieu Choiniere 13' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Choiniere 13' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 86' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 86' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Corbo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Corbo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 20'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 20'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 76'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 76'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 80'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 80'