Major League Soccer
May 16, 2026 9.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Saputo
  • Brandan Craig 46' yellowcard
  • Noah Streit 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ríos 73' yellowcard
  • Gennadiy Synchuk 85' yellowcard
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 14'
  • yellowcard Andrew Gutman 61'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 67'
  • yellowcard P. Dithejane 67'
  • yellowcard Chris Mueller 68'
  • yellowcard P. Dithejane 68'
  • yellowcard P. Dithejane 69'

CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 12.30am
Montreal 2 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Wikelman José Carmona Torres

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 12.30am
DC United 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

CF Montreal 35.61% (+0.08)
Draw 25.09% (-0.09)
Chicago Fire 39.3% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.57% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.59% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 21.41% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 55.92% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 44.08% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 33.2% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 66.8% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 18.95% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.05% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

CF Montreal 33.16% (-0.03)
Draw 38.27% (+0.05)
Chicago Fire 28.58% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

CF Montreal 51.96% (+0.15)
No Goal 5.69% (-0.08)
Chicago Fire 42.35% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.16% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 26.46% (+0.04)
Over 9 50.13% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.84% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 38.52%
Under 10.5 61.48%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 1.5 38.87% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 61.13% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 16.08% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 83.92% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 73.59% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 26.41% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.13% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 57.87% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 17.92% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 82.08% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.52% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.48% (-0.04)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 35.61%
Draw 25.09%
Chicago Fire 39.31%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.2% (+0.05)
Total : 35.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.46% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.07% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.37% (+0.05)
Total : 39.31%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Jonathan Bamba 27' goal
  • Joel Waterman 57' yellowcard
  • Djé D'Avilla 89' yellowcard
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Brandan Craig 46'
  • yellowcard Dawid Bugaj  63'
  • yellowcard Noah Streit 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Ríos 72'
  • yellowcard Wikelman José Carmona Torres 78'
Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Philip Zinckernagel 40' goal
  • Philip Zinckernagel 40' goal
  • Andrew Gutman 47' yellowcard
  • Andrew Gutman 47' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 53' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 23'
  • goal Dante Sealy 50'
  • goal Dante Sealy 50'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Josef Martinez 21' goal
  • Josef Martinez 21' goal
  • George Campbell 40' yellowcard
  • George Campbell 40' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 6.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Tobias Salquist 11' yellowcard
  • Chase Gasper 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 45'+8' goal
  • Fabian Herbers 78' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 84' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+5' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 90'+9' goal
  • goal Matias Coccaro 7'
  • goal Matias Coccaro 12'
  • yellowcard Matias Coccaro 16'
  • goal Dominik Yankov 70'
  • redcard Raheem Edwards 82'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 90'+11'
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Mathieu Choiniere 13' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Choiniere 13' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 86' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 86' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Corbo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Corbo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 20'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 20'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 76'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 76'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 80'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 80'