Major League Soccer
May 9, 2026 9.30pm
Stade Saputo

CF Montreal vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 3 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Wikelman José Carmona Torres

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.15am
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Orlando City
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 31.34% and a draw has a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.52%).

Result

CF Montreal 46.01% (+2.98)
Draw 22.68% (-0.50)
Orlando City 31.34% (-2.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.84% (+1.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.45% (+1.58)
Under 1.5 14.55% (-1.58)
Over 2.5 66.5% (+2.22)
Under 2.5 33.5% (-2.22)
Over 3.5 44.72% (+2.32)
Under 3.5 55.28% (-2.32)
Over 4.5 28.86% (+2.08)
Under 4.5 71.14% (-2.07)

First Half Winner

CF Montreal 40.99% (+3.11)
Draw 34.66% (-1.16)
Orlando City 24.34% (-1.97)

Team To Score First

CF Montreal 59.5% (+3.11)
No Goal 3.59% (-0.49)
Orlando City 36.91% (-2.64)

Corners

Over 8 57.78% (+0.60)
Equal 8 11.16% (-0.09)
Under 8 31.06% (-0.52)
Over 9 46.41% (+0.62)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.04)
Under 9 42.22% (-0.60)
Over 10.5 35.75% (+0.61)
Under 10.5 64.25% (-0.60)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 1.5 52.6% (+3.65)
Under 1.5 47.4% (-3.65)
Over 2.5 27.53% (+3.25)
Under 2.5 72.47% (-3.24)
Over 3.5 12.48% (+2.22)
Under 3.5 87.52% (-2.22)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 68.83% (-1.77)
Under 0.5 31.17% (+1.77)
Over 1.5 40.33% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 59.67% (+1.17)
Over 2.5 18.38% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 81.62% (+0.78)
Over 3.5 7.21% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 92.79% (+0.27)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 46.03%
Draw 22.68%
Orlando City 31.35%
CF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 5.61% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.23% (+0.36)
3-2 @ 4.08% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.6% (+0.36)
Other @ 12.08% (+2.16)
Total : 46.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.45)
2-2 @ 7.03% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 3.59% (-0.49)
3-3 @ 2.14% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.06)
Total : 22.68%
Orlando City
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.42)
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.68)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.32)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.19)
Other @ 6.81% (-0.33)
Total : 31.35%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 18' goal
  • Martín Ojeda 31' goal
  • Colin Guske 61' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Taifi 61' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 71' yellowcard
  • Tahir Reid-Brown 84' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 84' yellowcard
  • goal Prince Owusu 24'
  • yellowcard Bode Hidalgo 46'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette   57'
  • yellowcard Iván Jaime 57'
  • yellowcard Noah Streit 76'
  • yellowcard Olger Escobar 83'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • George Campbell 38' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 3'
  • yellowcard Rafael Santos 60'
  • redcard Rafael Santos 76'
Leagues Cup
Jul 27, 2024 1.00am
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 7' goal
  • Facundo Torres 37' goal
  • Ramiro Enrique 45'+2' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 57' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Coccaro 56'
  • goal Josef Martinez 69'
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Saputo
  • Joaquin Sosa 10' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Sosa 10' yellowcard
  • Mason Toye 16' goal
  • Mason Toye 16' goal
  • Jonathan Sirois 20' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Sirois 20' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 77' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 77' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 86' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 86' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 88' goal
  • Ariel Lassiter 88' goal
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 8'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 8'
  • goal Facundo Torres 22'
  • goal Facundo Torres 22'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 62'
  • yellowcard Cesar Araujo 62'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 90'+2'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Wilder Cartagena 31' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena 31' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 45'+3' yellowcard
  • 80' goal
  • Felipe 90' yellowcard
  • Felipe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ariel Lassiter 36'
  • yellowcard Ariel Lassiter 36'