Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.