Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 12.00am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 1 - 1 New England
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
DC United 3 - 2 Orlando City
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw has a probability of 19.88% and a win for Orlando City has a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.29%) , while for a Orlando City win it is 0-1 (4.23%).

Result

Inter Miami 66.89%
Draw 19.88% (+0.04)
Orlando City 13.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.14% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.01% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 59.17%
Under 2.5 40.83%
Over 3.5 38.96%
Under 3.5 61.04%
Over 4.5 27.55% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 72.45% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 51.88%
Draw 32%
Orlando City 16.12%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 69%
No Goal 6.28%
Orlando City 24.72%

Corners

Over 8 60.25%
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 28.63%
Over 9 48.69%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 39.75%
Over 10.5 37.67%
Under 10.5 62.33%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 62.74%
Under 1.5 37.26%
Over 2.5 38.63%
Under 2.5 61.37%
Over 3.5 20.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.05% (-0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 45.62% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 54.38% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 82.39% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95.04% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.34% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.66% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 66.9%
Draw 19.87%
Orlando City 13.28%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.55% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 9.05%
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 20.8%
Total : 66.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 19.87%
Orlando City
0-1 @ 4.23%
1-2 @ 3.66% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 13.28%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2026 12.00am
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Marco Pašalić 18' goal
  • Martín Ojeda 24' goal
  • Iago Teodoro 59' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 66' yellowcard
  • Eduard Atuesta 79' yellowcard
  • Tiago 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Silvetti 46'
  • goal Mateo Silvetti 49'
  • goal Lionel Messi  57'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 85'
  • goal Lionel Messi  90'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Luján 90'+2'
Leagues Cup
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 11, 2025 1.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2025 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Noah Allen 11' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Falcon 55' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 73' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 75' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Muriel 43'
  • goal Marco Pasalic 53'
  • goal Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 90'+4'
Club Friendlies 1
Feb 15, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Raymond James Stadium
  • Martin Ojeda 15' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 17' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 40' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 54' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 82' yellowcard
  • goal Tadeo Allende 22'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 53'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 82'
  • goal Fabrice Picault 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Luis Muriel 71' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 71' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 57'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 57'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 79'