Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
May 17, 2026 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
Toronto
  • Wilfried Zaha 19' goal
  • David Schnegg 35' goal
  • Djibril Diani 66' yellowcard
  • Rodolfo Aloko 66' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 75' yellowcard
  • Will Cleary 75' yellowcard
  • Pep Biel 84' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 87' yellowcard
  • goal Derrick Etienne Jr. 22'
  • yellowcard Nicksoen Gomis  58'
  • yellowcard Fletcher Bank 78'

Charlotte FC vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 12.15am
Charlotte FC 0 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Pep Biel

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.78% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Charlotte FC 55.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Toronto 20.1% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.35% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.4%
Under 3.5 73.6%
Over 4.5 15.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.68% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Charlotte FC 40.73%
Draw 40%
Toronto 19.27%

Team To Score First

Charlotte FC 56.98% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Toronto 34.63%

Corners

Over 8 62.52%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 25.92%
Over 9 50.23%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 37.48%
Over 10.5 38.37%
Under 10.5 61.63%

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 1.5 48.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 53.22% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 46.78% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 21.42%
Under 1.5 78.58%
Over 2.5 6.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 55.05%
Draw 24.79%
Toronto 20.11%
Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 13.22%
2-0 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 55.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.79%
Toronto
0-1 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.11%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Charlotte FC
Jul 27, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Toronto
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Jun 1, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Deybi Flores 37' yellowcard
  • Deybi Flores 37' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 80' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 80' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 86' yellowcard
  • Richie Laryea 86' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Raoul Petretta 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Pep Biel 56'
  • goal Pep Biel 56'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 90'
  • goal Patrick Agyemang 90'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrick Agyemang 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Toronto
  • Kerwin Vargas 39' goal
  • Kerwin Vargas 39' goal
  • Liel Abada 70' goal
  • Liel Abada 70' goal
  • Liel Abada 70' yellowcard
  • Liel Abada 70' yellowcard
  • Patrick Agyemang 85' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 85' goal
  • Jaylin Lindsey 88' yellowcard
  • Jaylin Lindsey 88' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90'+3' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 49'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 49'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 54'
  • yellowcard Alonso Coello 54'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 58'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 58'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 78'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 84'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 84'
  • redcard Kevin Long 90'+8'
  • redcard Kevin Long 90'+8'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Mar 9, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Lorenzo Insigne 26' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 64' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 80' goal
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 60'
  • yellowcard Scott Arfield 82'
  • yellowcard Brecht Dejaegere 86'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Kahlina 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Toronto
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 8' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+2' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 45'+2' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 56' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 56' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Michael Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mbongue 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mbongue 45'+6'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT BMO Field
Charlotte FC
  • Federico Bernardeschi 6' goal
  • Michael Bradley 44' goal
  • goal Ben Bender 50'
  • goal Ben Bender 51'
  • goal Kamil Jozwiak 70'

Form Data

Charlotte FC 0 - 1 NY City
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Cincinnati
New England 1 - 0 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 0 - 2 Atlanta
Nashville 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Orlando City 4 - 1 Charlotte FC
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Toronto 1 - 2 Atlanta
Toronto 3 - 3 Philadelphia
Toronto 3 - 3 Austin
Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati