Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.15am
0
1
HT : 0 1
LIVE Bank of America Stadium
  • Rodolfo Aloko 74' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 74' yellowcard
  • Tyger Smalls 88' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolás Fernández Mercau 8'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 65'
  • yellowcard Arnau Farnós 81'
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 81'
  • yellowcard Arnau Farnós 82'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 82'

Charlotte FC vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Idan Toklomati

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.30pm
NY City 3 - 0 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Charlotte FC 45.45%
Draw 25.25%
New York City FC 29.27% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 23.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 52.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.08% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 30.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 82.9% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Charlotte FC 32.82%
Draw 40.65%
New York City FC 26.53%

Team To Score First

Charlotte FC 52.48%
No Goal 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
New York City FC 41.22% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.79%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 27.39%
Over 9 48.41%
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 39.21%
Over 10.5 36.63%
Under 10.5 63.37%

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 1.5 44.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 79.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.86% ▲ (+0.02)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 65.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 34.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 45.45%
Draw 25.26%
New York City FC 29.26%
Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 45.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.26%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.26%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
  • Raul Gustavo  17' yellowcard
  • 17' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 67' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 77' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks  85' yellowcard
  • Seymour Reid 86' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Brandt Bronico 3'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 46'
  • goal Idan Toklomati 54'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 68'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 69'
  • yellowcard Archie Goodwin 77'
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 77'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 81'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Kahlina 84'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 90'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Nov 8, 2025 12.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Idan Toklomati 81' goal
  • Archie Goodwin 87' yellowcard
  • Tim Ream 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolás Fernández Mercau 45'+2'
  • goal Alonso Martínez 50'
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 66'
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Neill 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fernández Mercau 90'+2'
  • goal Nicolás Fernández Mercau 90'+10'
Major League Soccer
Nov 1, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
ET Yankee Stadium
  • Aiden O'Neill 27' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 61'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 72'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 81'
Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2025 10.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • goal Alonso Martínez 34'
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Neill 36'
  • yellowcard Tayvon Gray 56'
  • yellowcard Raul Gustavo 68'
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin O'Toole 90'
Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Alonso Martínez 11' goal
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alonso Martínez 58' goal
  • Kevin O'Toole 60' yellowcard
  • Andrés Perea 64' yellowcard
  • Julián Fernández 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristijan Kahlina 10'
  • yellowcard Brandt Bronico 16'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 20'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 58'
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 1.58am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Idan Toklomati 14' goal
  • Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 17' yellowcard
  • Nick Scardina 61' yellowcard
  • Kerwin Vargas 81' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 43'
  • yellowcard Julián Fernández 67'
  • yellowcard Maxi Moralez 90'+4'