Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.