Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.15am
Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 2 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Pep Biel

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 9.30pm
NY City 3 - 0 Columbus Crew
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 31.22% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.72%).

Result

Charlotte FC 43.28% (-0.87)
Draw 25.5% (+0.58)
New York City FC 31.22% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (-2.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.85% (-2.36)
Under 1.5 23.15% (+2.35)
Over 2.5 53.48% (-3.37)
Under 2.5 46.52% (+3.37)
Over 3.5 31.58% (-3.00)
Under 3.5 68.42% (+2.99)
Over 4.5 17.84% (-1.97)
Under 4.5 82.16% (+1.97)

First Half Winner

Charlotte FC 31.4% (-1.95)
Draw 42.31% (+2.18)
New York City FC 26.29% (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Charlotte FC 51.05% (-3.20)
No Goal 6.43% (+0.92)
New York City FC 42.52% (+2.29)

Corners

Over 8 61.85% (+1.22)
Equal 8 11.63% (-0.13)
Under 8 26.53% (-1.08)
Over 9 49.57% (+1.22)
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 38.15% (-1.22)
Over 10.5 37.79% (+1.11)
Under 10.5 62.21% (-1.11)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 1.5 43.77% (-2.71)
Under 1.5 56.23% (+2.71)
Over 2.5 19.43% (-2.22)
Under 2.5 80.57% (+2.22)
Over 3.5 6.88% (-1.08)
Under 3.5 93.12% (+1.08)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (-1.05)
Under 0.5 33.12% (+1.04)
Over 1.5 34.29% (-1.25)
Under 1.5 65.71% (+1.24)
Over 2.5 13.23% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 86.77% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 4.25% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 95.75% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 43.27%
Draw 25.51%
New York City FC 31.22%
Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.41% (+0.93)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 6.98% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.48)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.30)
Other @ 6.72% (-0.99)
Total : 43.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.42)
0-0 @ 6.43% (+0.92)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.39)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.10)
Total : 25.51%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.31% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 4.67% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.09% (-0.20)
Total : 31.22%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
  • Talles Magno 67' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 77' yellowcard
  • Seymour Reid 86' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 46'
  • goal Idan Toklomati 54'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 69'
  • yellowcard Archie Goodwin 77'
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 77'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 90'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 90'+3'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 12.10am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 28, 2025 10.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 20, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT