Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Bank of America Stadium
Cincinnati

Charlotte FC vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
New England 1 - 0 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Pep Biel

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 25.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.06%).

Result

Charlotte FC 50.62% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 23.42% ▼ (-0.06)
FC Cincinnati 25.96% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.2% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 17.11% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 62.79% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 37.21% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 39.69% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 60.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 24.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 75.34% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Charlotte FC 39.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 37.93% ▼ (-0.08)
FC Cincinnati 22.44%

Team To Score First

Charlotte FC 57.96% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
FC Cincinnati 37.57% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 25.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 51.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 39.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 60.09% ▲ (+0.05)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 1.5 54.77% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 45.23% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 28.43% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 71.57% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 12.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 87.36% ▼ (-0.13)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 64.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 35.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 33.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.56% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 50.63%
Draw 23.42%
FC Cincinnati 25.98%
Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 10.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 12.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 50.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.42%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.98%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Cincinnati
Aug 10, 2025 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Mar 15, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Liel Abada 48' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 51' goal
  • yellowcard Gilberto Flores 45'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 76'
  • redcard Gilberto Flores 83'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 4
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Charlotte FC
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+1' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 45'+1' goal
  • Miles Robinson 59' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 59' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 72' redcard
  • Miles Robinson 72' redcard
  • Luciano Acosta 87' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 3'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 3'
  • goal Iuri Tavares 20'
  • goal Iuri Tavares 20'
  • goal Liel Abada 22'
  • goal Liel Abada 22'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 47'
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 47'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 54'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 54'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 66'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 66'
  • yellowcard Tyger Smalls 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'+8'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Djibril Diani 60' goal
  • Brecht Dejaegere 72' yellowcard
  • Kerwin Vargas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 64'
  • yellowcard Aaron Boupendza 88'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Obinna Nwobodo 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Nippert Stadium
Charlotte FC
  • Alvaro Barreal 45'+1' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 45'+1' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 50' goal
  • Aaron Boupendza 50' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 78' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 78' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 35'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 35'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Kahlina 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Kahlina 45'+3'
Major League Soccer
Charlotte FC
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
Cincinnati
  • Karol Swiderski 14' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 14' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 24' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 24' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 52'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 52'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 68'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 68'

Form Data

New England 1 - 0 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 0 - 2 Atlanta
Nashville 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Orlando City 4 - 1 Charlotte FC
NY City 1 - 2 Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC 6 - 0 Charlotte
Chicago Fire 2 - 3 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 0 NY Red Bulls
NY City 4 - 4 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 3 - 3 Chicago Fire
Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati