Major League Soccer
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
BMO Field

Toronto vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.15am
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Orlando City
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw has a probability of 25.4% and a win for Toronto has a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Toronto win it is 1-0 (6.7%).

Result

Toronto 25.14% (-0.04)
Draw 25.4% (+0.05)
Inter Miami 49.46% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.75% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.31% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.38% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 48.62% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 30.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.93% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.56% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.44% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Toronto 25.84% (-0.02)
Draw 39.74% (+0.02)
Inter Miami 34.43% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Toronto 40.41% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.51%
Inter Miami 52.08% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.66% (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.67% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.67% (+0.10)
Over 9 47.57% (-0.12)
Equal 9 12.09% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.34% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 36.14% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 63.86% (+0.11)

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 28.19%
Under 1.5 71.81%
Over 2.5 10.38%
Under 2.5 89.62%
Over 3.5 3.21% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.79% (-0.01)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 77.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.19% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 47.29%
Under 1.5 52.71%
Over 2.5 21.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.59% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toronto 25.14%
Draw 25.4%
Inter Miami 49.45%
Toronto
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.5%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02%
0-0 @ 7.51%
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 25.4%
Inter Miami
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.71%
0-3 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.18% (+0.01)
Total : 49.45%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 27, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Lionel Messi 39' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Matty Longstaff 55' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 77' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 79' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Campana 90'+3'
Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal