Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 9, 2026 6.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT BMO Field
Inter Miami
  • Emilio Aristizábal 65' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 65' yellowcard
  • Micah Chisholm 70' yellowcard
  • Emilio Aristizábal 82' goal
  • Emilio Aristizábal 90' goal
  • goal Rodrigo De Paul 44'
  • goal Luis Suárez 56'
  • yellowcard Sergio Reguilón 68'
  • goal Sergio Reguilón 73'
  • goal Lionel Messi  75'
  • yellowcard David Ayala 78'
  • yellowcard Dániel Pintér 78'
  • yellowcard P. Plambeck 78'

Toronto vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.15am
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Orlando City
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

Toronto 26.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 25.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Inter Miami 48.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.68%
Under 2.5 47.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.67%
Under 3.5 69.33%
Over 4.5 17.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.05% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Toronto 28.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 40.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Inter Miami 30.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Toronto 44.89% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Inter Miami 48.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 29.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 46.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.3%
Under 9 41% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 64.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 30.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.48%
Under 2.5 88.52%
Over 3.5 3.61%
Under 3.5 96.39%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 22.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.27%
Under 3.5 91.73%

Score analysis

Toronto 26.84%
Draw 25.07%
Inter Miami 48.15%
Toronto
1-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 26.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.07%
Inter Miami
0-1 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.02%
Total : 48.15%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Toronto
Sep 27, 2025 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Apr 7, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 3 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Lionel Messi 39' goal
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Telasco Segovia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • Lionel Messi 45'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 17'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 45'+2'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Oct 5, 2024 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Inter Miami
  • Matty Longstaff 55' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 77' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Rosted 79' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Campana 90'+3'
Leagues Cup
Inter Miami
Aug 9, 2024 12.30am
4
3
HT : 6 4
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Matias Rojas 3' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Diego Gomez 11' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • Luis Suarez 20' goal
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • David Martinez 28' redcard
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Matias Rojas 59' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 15'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 41'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 43'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • yellowcard Henry Wingo 54'
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
  • goal Noah Allen 79' (OG)
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Diego Gomez 43' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 53' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 59' goal
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Federico Redondo 62' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • Ian Fray 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 52'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
  • goal Derrick Etienne 80'
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Facundo Farias 45'+3' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Robert Taylor 54' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Benjamin Cremaschi 73' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal
  • Robert Taylor 87' goal

Form Data

Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Toronto 1 - 2 Atlanta
Toronto 3 - 3 Philadelphia
Toronto 3 - 3 Austin
Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Toronto 3 - 2 Colorado
Inter Miami 3 - 4 Orlando City
Inter Miami 1 - 1 New England
Salt Lake 0 - 2 Inter Miami
Colorado 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Austin