Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 17, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Daniel Pereira 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dániel Sallói 69'

CF Montreal vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 24, 2026 12.30am
DC United 4 - 4 Montreal
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Prince Owusu

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 24, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.11% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

CF Montreal 54.03%
Draw 24.11%
Toronto 21.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.46%
Under 2.5 47.54%
Over 3.5 30.1%
Under 3.5 69.9%
Over 4.5 17.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.42% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

CF Montreal 41.71%
Draw 38.54%
Toronto 19.74%

Team To Score First

CF Montreal 59.61% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Toronto 33.68%

Corners

Over 8 63.37%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 25.72%
Over 9 51.76%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 36.63%
Over 10.5 40.43%
Under 10.5 59.57%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 1.5 50.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 25.12%
Under 2.5 74.88%
Over 3.5 9.97%
Under 3.5 90.03%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 57.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.66%
Under 1.5 75.34%
Over 2.5 8.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.12%
Under 3.5 97.88%

Score analysis

CF Montreal 54.02%
Draw 24.11%
Toronto 21.86%
CF Montreal
1-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 2.8%
Other @ 9.78%
Total : 54.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.11%
Toronto
0-1 @ 6.3%
1-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Toronto
Aug 31, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Montreal
Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 17, 2025 7.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Joel Waterman 21' redcard
  • Fernando Alvarez 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jalen Neal 57' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Vrioni 64' goal
  • Dante Sealy 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kosi Thompson 9'
  • goal Tyrese Spicer 14'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 30'
  • goal Ola Brynhildsen 33'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 55'
  • goal Theo Corbeanu 66'
  • goal Theo Corbeanu 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Ariel Lassiter 30' yellowcard
  • Ariel Lassiter 30' yellowcard
  • goal Richie Laryea 38'
  • goal Richie Laryea 38'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 53'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 53'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 74'
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 74'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 85'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 85'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
May 19, 2024 12.30am
5
1
HT : 6 0
FT BMO Field
Montreal
  • Matty Longstaff 6' goal
  • Matty Longstaff 6' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 12' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 12' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 19' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 19' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 58' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 58' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 60' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 60' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 67'
  • goal Ibrahim Sunusi 67'
Major League Soccer
Toronto
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 4
FT BMO Field
Montreal
  • Brandon Servania 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Brandon Servania 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 66' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 66' goal
  • Raoul Petretta 77' redcard
  • Raoul Petretta 77' redcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+4' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 18'
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 18'
  • goal Aime Mabika 25' (OG)
  • goal Aime Mabika 25' (OG)
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • goal Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 90'+3'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
May 14, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Toronto
  • Lassi Lappalainen 53' goal
  • Lassi Lappalainen 53' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 68' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 68' goal

Form Data

DC United 4 - 4 Montreal
Montreal 0 - 2 Chicago Fire
Montreal 2 - 2 Portland
Montreal 2 - 0 Orlando City
Atlanta 3 - 1 Montreal
Montreal 1 - 0 NY City
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Toronto
Charlotte FC 3 - 1 Toronto
Toronto 2 - 4 Inter Miami
Toronto 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Toronto 1 - 2 Atlanta
Toronto 3 - 3 Philadelphia