Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%).