Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.31% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.