Major League Soccer
May 10, 2026 2.15am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT GEODIS Park
  • Warren Madrigal 62' yellowcard
  • 62' yellowcard
  • Charles-Emile Brunet 62' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Warren Madrigal 76' goal
  • Maxwell Woledzi 79' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 88' yellowcard
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 88' yellowcard
  • Warren Madrigal 89' goal
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 89' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Munteanu 25'
  • goal Lucas Bartlett  29'
  • yellowcard Aarón Herrera 67'
  • yellowcard Nikola Markovic 77'
  • yellowcard Tai Baribo 84'

Nashville SC vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
NY City 0 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.31% and a win for DC United had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Nashville SC 59.44% (-0.08)
Draw 23.31% (+0.03)
DC United 17.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.42% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 25.57% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 51% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 49% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 28.82% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 71.18% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 17.39% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 82.61% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Nashville SC 45.36%
Draw 38.07%
DC United 16.58%

Team To Score First

Nashville SC 64.02% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.43% (+0.09)
DC United 28.55% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.73%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 35.37%
Over 9 41.08%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 47.27%
Over 10.5 30.6%
Under 10.5 69.41%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 1.5 53.67% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 46.33% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 27.83% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 72.17% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 11.81% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 88.19% (+0.15)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 51.43% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 48.57% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 19.31% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 80.69% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 5.21% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 94.79% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 1.12% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.88% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Nashville SC 59.44%
Draw 23.31%
DC United 17.25%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 12.24% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.49% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.68% (-0.13)
Total : 59.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.43% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 23.31%
DC United
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99% (-0.03)
Total : 17.25%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
Jul 10, 2025 2.00am
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Patrick Yazbek 30' yellowcard
  • Patrick Yazbek 30' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 80' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 24'
  • yellowcard Matti Peltola 24'
  • yellowcard Luis Barraza 70'
  • yellowcard Luis Barraza 70'
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 1.30am
3
4
HT : 4 2
FT
  • Alex Muyl 6' goal
  • Alex Muyl 6' goal
  • Duncan Williams 45' goal
  • Duncan Williams 45' goal
  • Alex Muyl 62' goal
  • Alex Muyl 62' goal
  • Walker Zimmerman 75' yellowcard
  • Walker Zimmerman 75' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 83' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 83' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniel Lovitz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Bartlett 24'
  • goal Lucas Bartlett 24'
  • yellowcard Christopher McVey 38'
  • yellowcard Christopher McVey 38'
  • yellowcard Troy Lesesne 39'
  • yellowcard Troy Lesesne 39'
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 41'
  • yellowcard Aaron Herrera 41'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bartlett 43'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bartlett 43'
  • goal Christian Benteke 76'
  • goal Christian Benteke 76'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+4'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+4'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+7'
  • goal Gabriel Pirani 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Audi Field
  • Cristian Dajome 51' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 51' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 55' goal
  • Cristian Dajome 55' goal
  • Matti Peltola 84' yellowcard
  • Matti Peltola 84' yellowcard
  • Troy Lesesne 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Troy Lesesne 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Boyd 19'
  • goal Tyler Boyd 19'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 73'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 73'
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Randall Leal 18' goal
  • Randall Leal 18' goal
  • Randall Leal 37' goal
  • Randall Leal 37' goal