Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Milan Iloski

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
Nashville 4 - 2 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Nashville SC has a probability of 32.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Nashville SC win is 0-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 41.15%
Draw 25.84%
Nashville SC 32.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.35% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.17% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.83% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.46% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.54% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.94% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 37.91%
Draw 41.12%
Nashville SC 20.97%

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 54.73% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.25% (+0.01)
Nashville SC 38.02%

Corners

Over 8 51.76%
Equal 8 12.52%
Under 8 35.73%
Over 9 39.59%
Equal 9 12.17%
Under 9 48.24%
Over 10.5 28.78%
Under 10.5 71.22%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 39.72% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.28% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.49% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.51% (+0.02)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 67.25% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.75% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.5% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.81% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.19% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.92%
Under 3.5 96.08%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 41.14%
Draw 25.84%
Nashville SC 32.97%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 5.37% (-0.01)
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.84%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 8.44% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
Sep 17, 2025 1.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 6.25pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Subaru Park
  • Jovan Lukic 33' goal
  • Kai Wagner 88' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Olwethu Makhanya 90'+12' redcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 15'
  • goal Ahmed Qasem 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 45'+2'
  • goal Duncan Williams 82'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 87'
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Damion Lowe 2' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 2' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 10' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 10' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 20' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 20' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Jack Elliott 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 89' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 67'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 67'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 76'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 76'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jose Andres Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 90' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 18'
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 18'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 72'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 72'