Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.