Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.