Major League Soccer
May 17, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Carles Gil  5' yellowcard
  • Luca Langoni 49' goal
  • Matt Polster  72' yellowcard
  • Griffin Yow 81' yellowcard
  • Tanner Beason 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Yeboah 26'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 72'
  • yellowcard Owen Gene 72'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 72'
  • yellowcard Mauricio González 83'

New England Revolution vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 12.30am
New England 0 - 3 Nashville
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Peyton Miller

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 1.30am
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Colorado
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

New England Revolution 39.65%
Draw 25.38% (-0.04)
Minnesota United 34.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

60% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.36% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.64% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.88% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 43.12% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.96% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.04% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.45% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 80.55% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 33.91%
Draw 40.77%
Minnesota United 25.32%

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 50.03% (+0.03)
No Goal 5.49% (-0.03)
Minnesota United 44.48% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.64%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 28.7%
Over 9 47.57%
Equal 9 12.08%
Under 9 40.36%
Over 10.5 36.15%
Under 10.5 63.85%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 42.99% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 57.01% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 18.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.93% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.07% (-0.03)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 70.96%
Under 0.5 29.04%
Over 1.5 39.04% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.96% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.36% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 39.65%
Draw 25.38%
Minnesota United 34.96%
New England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.81%
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.66% (+0.03)
Total : 39.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.38%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.09% (+0.02)
Total : 34.96%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Franco Fragapane 90'+3' goal
  • Franco Fragapane 90'+3' goal
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Franco Fragapane 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard DeJuan Jones 14'
  • yellowcard DeJuan Jones 14'
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 25'
  • yellowcard Omar Gonzalez 25'
  • goal Carles Gil 38'
  • goal Carles Gil 38'
  • yellowcard Earl Edwards Jr. 74'
  • yellowcard Earl Edwards Jr. 74'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 75'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 75'
Major League Soccer
Jun 19, 2022 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Thomas McNamara 12' yellowcard
  • Andrew Farrell 36' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 53' goal
  • Gustavo Bou 69' goal
  • goal Emanuel Reynoso 37'
  • yellowcard Wil Trapp 58'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 68'
  • yellowcard Luis Amarilla 80'
  • yellowcard Bakaye Dibassy 80'
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Sep 20, 2020 1.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2019 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
  • Jalil Anibaba 10' goal
  • Carles Gil 45' yellowcard
  • Brandon Bye 62' goal
  • Jalil Anibaba 72' yellowcard
  • Edgar Castillo 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ike Opara 12'
  • goal Darwin Quintero 26'
  • yellowcard Romain Metanire 54'
  • yellowcard Osvaldo Alonso 70'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Jul 19, 2018 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
  • Christian Ramirez 5' goal
  • Francisco Calvo 30' yellowcard
  • Darwin Quintero 45' goal
  • Collen Warner 45' yellowcard
  • Darwin Quintero 55' yellowcard
  • Miguel Ibarra 62' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 90' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Fagundez 52'
  • yellowcard Jalil Anibaba 55'
  • yellowcard Kelyn Rowe 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Agudelo 83'
Major League Soccer
Mar 25, 2017 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Juan Agudelo 4' goal
  • Kei Kamara 21' goal
  • Lee Nguyen 32' goal
  • Juan Agudelo 41' goal
  • Chris Tierney 53' goal
  • goal Collen Warner 15'
  • goal Brent Kallman 49'