Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 12.30am
Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.30am
New England 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Peyton Miller

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.15am
Nashville 2 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Nashville SC has a probability of 32.99% and a draw has a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Nashville SC win is 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

New England Revolution 41.09% (+1.89)
Draw 25.95% (-0.45)
Nashville SC 32.99% (-1.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.33% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.46% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.54% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.14% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 48.86% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 28.91% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 71.09% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 15.98% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.02% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 31.38% (-0.67)
Draw 42.08% (+0.18)
Nashville SC 26.54% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 49.79% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.86% (-0.03)
Nashville SC 43.35% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 46.99% (+1.34)
Equal 8 12.54% (+0.10)
Under 8 40.48% (-1.43)
Over 9 35.26% (+1.12)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.22)
Under 9 53.01% (-1.34)
Over 10.5 25.21% (+0.86)
Under 10.5 74.79% (-0.86)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 40.74% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 59.26% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 17.11% (+0.84)
Under 2.5 82.89% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 5.99% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 94.01% (-0.31)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 67.78% (-1.32)
Under 0.5 32.22% (+1.31)
Over 1.5 34.11% (-1.47)
Under 1.5 65.89% (+1.47)
Over 2.5 12.99% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 87.01% (+0.89)
Over 3.5 3.97% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 96.03% (+0.38)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 41.1%
Draw 25.95%
Nashville SC 33%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.92% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 6.78% (+0.40)
3-1 @ 4.12% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 3.27% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.89% (+0.41)
Total : 41.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.10)
Total : 25.95%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.31)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.87% (-0.27)
Total : 33%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 22, 2026 1.30am
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Sam Surridge 5' goal
  • Sam Surridge 16' goal
  • Hany Mukhtar 39' goal
  • Warren Madrigal 49' goal
  • Alex Muyl 61' yellowcard
  • Matthew Corcoran 72' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 72' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Qasem 82' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 82' yellowcard
  • 82' yellowcard
  • Woobens Pacius 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tanner Beason 45'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 47'
  • yellowcard Luca Langoni 61'
  • yellowcard Malcolm Fry 68'
  • yellowcard Alhassan Yusuf 82'
  • yellowcard Ilay Feingold 82'
  • yellowcard Keegan Hughes 82'
  • yellowcard 82'
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 12.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Corcoran 64' yellowcard
  • Matthew Corcoran 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fofana 36'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Fofana 36'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 65'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 65'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Matt Polster 43' yellowcard
  • Matt Polster 43' yellowcard
  • Brandon Bye 86' goal
  • Brandon Bye 86' goal
  • yellowcard Shaquell Moore 41'
  • yellowcard Shaquell Moore 41'
Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Bobby Wood 3' goal
  • Bobby Wood 3' goal
  • Peyton Miller 15' yellowcard
  • Peyton Miller 15' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Malcolm Fry 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Malcolm Fry 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 39'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 39'
  • goal Sam Surridge 45'+2'
  • goal Sam Surridge 45'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Duncan Williams 80' goal
  • Duncan Williams 80' goal
  • Dru Yearwood 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Dru Yearwood 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Gil 18'
  • goal Carles Gil 18'
  • goal Esmir Bajraktarevic 51'
  • goal Esmir Bajraktarevic 51'
  • yellowcard Xavier Arreaga 53'
  • yellowcard Xavier Arreaga 53'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 73'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 73'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Ivacic 88'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Ivacic 88'