Major League Soccer
May 17, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Griffin Dorsey 18' goal
  • Iago Teodoro 46' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 59' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 69' yellowcard
  • Luis Otávio 69' yellowcard
  • Wilder Cartagena  82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fafà Picault 59'
  • yellowcard Stian Gregersen 68'
  • yellowcard Matthew Edwards 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 68'
  • yellowcard Cayman Togashi 78'
  • goal Ajani Fortune 86'

Orlando City vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 3 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 1 - 2 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 40.68% (-0.10)
Draw 24.28% (-0.05)
Atlanta United 35.04% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.16% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 18.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 60.02% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.98% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.47% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 62.53% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 22.67% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 77.33% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 30.52% (+0.06)
Draw 39.94% (-0.09)
Atlanta United 29.54% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Orlando City 47.65% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.64% (-0.05)
Atlanta United 47.71% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.92%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 25.82% (-0.01)
Over 9 50.95% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 37.08%
Over 10.5 39.36% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 60.63% (+0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 45.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.4% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 8.21% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.79% (-0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 28.96% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 40.58% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 59.42% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 17.59% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 82.41% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.92% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.08% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Orlando City 40.69%
Draw 24.28%
Atlanta United 35.03%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.43% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.06)
Other @ 8.02% (+0.03)
Total : 40.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.28%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.73% (+0.07)
Total : 35.03%

Head to Head

MLS Playoffs
May 29, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 4
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 19' goal
  • Aleksei Miranchuk 19' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 63' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 63' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 79' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 79' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 82' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 82' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 83' goal
  • Bartosz Slisz 83' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+5' goal
  • goal Cesar Araujo 4'
  • goal Cesar Araujo 4'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 32'
  • goal Ramiro Enrique 32'
  • redcard Cesar Araujo 77'
  • redcard Cesar Araujo 77'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 12.15am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Luis Muriel 42' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 51' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Slisz 79'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 90'+1'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 24, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Ramiro Enrique 39' goal
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 59'
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Martin Ojeda 42' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 62' yellowcard
  • Duncan McGuire 90' yellowcard
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 7'
  • goal Jamal Thiare 16'
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 11.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 9' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 23' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Xande Silva 51' yellowcard
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 70' goal
  • Brad Guzan 73' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 49'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Caleb Wiley 22' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 22' goal
  • goal Antonio Carlos 25'
  • goal Antonio Carlos 25'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 60'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 60'