Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.