Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.