Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 47' goal
  • Zeki Amdouni 66' yellowcard
  • James Ward-Prowse 75' yellowcard
  • Marcus Edwards 75' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 84' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 85' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 5'
  • yellowcard Tolu Arokodare 66'
  • yellowcard Toti 66'
  • yellowcard Jerome Abbey 74'
  • yellowcard Hugo Bueno 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Lima 82'

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2026 8.00pm
Arsenal 1 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 1 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Tolu Arokodare

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 43.17%
Draw 26.92%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 29.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.88% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.99% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.01% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.85% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.15% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 13.92% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.08% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Burnley 33.06%
Draw 42.92%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 24.02%

Team To Score First

Burnley 50.01%
No Goal 8.75%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 41.24%

Corners

Over 8 57.54%
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 31.37%
Over 9 46.28%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 42.46%
Over 10.5 35.72%
Under 10.5 64.28%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 39.91% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 60.09% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 16.87% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.13% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.08% (+0.02)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 63.35% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 36.65% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 29.88% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 70.12% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.84% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 43.16%
Draw 26.92%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 29.86%
Burnley
1-0 @ 11.33% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.74% (-0.01)
Total : 43.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.75%
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.92%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.66% (-0.01)
Total : 29.86%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 26, 2025 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 28, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Goncalo Guedes 38' goal
  • Goncalo Guedes 54' goal
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 73'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 37' goal
  • goal Rayan Ait-Nouri 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Hwang Hee-chan 42' goal
  • Mario Lemina 57' yellowcard
  • Max Kilman 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 2'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 53'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 63'
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 74'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 9, 2022 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 3' goal
  • Daniel Podence 26' goal
  • Chiquinho 54' goal
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matej Vydra 33' yellowcard
  • Matej Vydra 62' goal
  • Charlie Taylor 77' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 90'+4'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups