/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Aaron Bouwman
34'
-
Abdellah Ouazane
67'
-
Anton Gaaei
85'
-
Jaydon Banel
62'
-
Lluc Castell
78'
Ajax vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.06% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result
Ajax
61.1%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
21.06%
▼
(-0.04)
Burnley
17.84%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.85%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
20.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
58.2%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
41.8%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
34.99%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
65.01%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
22%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
78%
▲
(+0.18)
First Half Winner
Ajax
45.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
37.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Burnley
17.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Ajax
65.36%
▼
(-0.08)
No Goal
4.95%
Burnley
29.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Corners
Over 8
58.95%
▼
(-0.08)
Equal 8
11.39%
Under 8
29.66%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 9
47.24%
▼
(-0.08)
Equal 9
11.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
41.05%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 10.5
36.22%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 10.5
63.78%
▲
(+0.07)
Ajax Goals
Over 1.5
58.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
41.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
31.64%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
68.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
13.99%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
86.01%
▲
(+0.08)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
54.72%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
45.28%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
23.05%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
76.95%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
6.99%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
93.01%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
1.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
98.14%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Ajax
61.1%
Draw
21.06%
Burnley
17.85%
Ajax
2-1
@
10.64%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 61.1%
1-0 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 61.1%
Draw
1-1
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 21.06%
2-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 21.06%
Burnley
1-2
@
5.13%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 17.85%