Club Friendlies 1
Jul 26, 2026 1.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 2.30pm
Ajax 1 - 0 Olympiacos

Burnley

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.09% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.78%) , while for a Burnley win it is 1-2 (5.14%).

Result

Ajax 61.04% (+0.11)
Draw 21.09% (-0.06)
Burnley 17.87% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.32% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.93% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 20.07% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 58.34% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 41.66% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 35.2% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 64.8% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 22.17% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 77.83% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Ajax 45.78% (+0.04)
Draw 37.09% (-0.03)
Burnley 17.13% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Ajax 65.43% (+0.03)
No Goal 4.95% (-0.02)
Burnley 29.62%

Corners

Over 8 59.03%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 29.58%
Over 9 47.32%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 40.96% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.28% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.72% (-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 58.67% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 41.33% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 31.75% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 68.25% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 14.07% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 85.93% (-0.14)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 54.8% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.2% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.81% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.07% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.1% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Ajax 61.04%
Draw 21.1%
Burnley 17.87%
Ajax
2-1 @ 10.62% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.69% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
Other @ 13.85% (+0.13)
Total : 61.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 21.1%
Burnley
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.68% (+0.03)
Total : 17.87%