Club Friendlies 1
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Caio Henrique 12' goal
  • Daley Blind 22' yellowcard
  • goal Maarten Paes 90'+1' (OG)

Ajax vs VfL Bochum - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 5.00pm
Ajax 1 - 0 Larnaca

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 49.44% (-0.03)
Draw 23.95% (-0.04)
VfL Bochum 26.61% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.25% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.97% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.39% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.61% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.04% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 65.96% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 20.33% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 79.67% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Ajax 37.47% (+0.09)
Draw 39.06% (-0.10)
VfL Bochum 23.46%

Team To Score First

Ajax 57.23% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.47% (+0.01)
VfL Bochum 37.3% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.1% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.04% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.86% (-0.09)
Over 9 50.47% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.9% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 39.24% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 60.76% (-0.13)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 49.68% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 50.32% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.87% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 76.13% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.04% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 90.96% (+0.04)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 64.34% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.66% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.72% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.28% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.58% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.67% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 49.44%
Draw 23.95%
VfL Bochum 26.6%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.92% (-0.03)
Total : 49.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 23.95%
VfL Bochum
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 26.6%