Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 3.45pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs FC Utrecht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Ajax 2 - 2 PSV
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Mika Godts

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
Utrecht 2 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Gjivai Zechiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for FC Utrecht has a probability of 33.58% and a draw has a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win is 1-2 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.03%).

Result

Ajax 42.42% (-0.01)
Draw 23.97%
FC Utrecht 33.58% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.99%
Under 2.5 41.01%
Over 3.5 36.25%
Under 3.5 63.72% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.58%
Under 4.5 78.42%

First Half Winner

Ajax 37.56% (+0.07)
Draw 36.71% (+0.04)
FC Utrecht 25.73% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Ajax 54.18% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.92%
FC Utrecht 40.9% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.22%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 26.89%
Over 9 48.68%
Equal 9 12.54%
Under 9 38.78%
Over 10.5 36.72%
Under 10.5 63.28%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 45.97% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.03% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.88%
Under 2.5 78.12%
Over 3.5 9.19%
Under 3.5 90.81%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5 69.29%
Under 0.5 30.71%
Over 1.5 37.82%
Under 1.5 62.18%
Over 2.5 15.87%
Under 2.5 84.13%
Over 3.5 5.1%
Under 3.5 94.9%

Score analysis

Ajax 42.42%
Draw 23.97%
FC Utrecht 33.58%
Ajax
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 8.87%
Total : 42.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.97%
FC Utrecht
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 33.58%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 9, 2025 11.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 20, 2025 11.15am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Sebastien Haller 29' goal
  • Paxten Aaronson 45' yellowcard
  • Miguel Rodriguez 52' goal
  • Miguel Rodriguez 63' goal
  • Paxten Aaronson 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 39'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 56'
  • yellowcard Bertrand Traore 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Dec 4, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Anton Gaaei 25' goal
  • Jens Toornstra 29' goal
  • goal David Min 16'
  • yellowcard Ron Jans 58'
  • goal Remko Pasveer 79' (OG)
Eredivisie Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 11.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 39' goal
  • Sivert Mannsverk 65' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Taylor 77' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 83' redcard
  • yellowcard Marouan Azarkan 36'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flamingo 42'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 11.15am
4
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • Ryan Flamingo 44' goal
  • Mike van der Hoorn 48' goal
  • Jens Toornstra 71' goal
  • Oscar Fraulo 90' goal
  • Mats Seuntjens 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 52'
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 55'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 65'
  • yellowcard Borna Sosa 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tahirovic 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Steven Bergwijn 20' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 68' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 90'+3' goal
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 49'