Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 1-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (5.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.