Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%).