Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 3.30pm
Groningen 3 - 1 Ajax
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
Sparta 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 54.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 23.97% and a draw has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 (6.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.64%).

Result

Ajax 54.11%
Draw 21.85%
Sparta Rotterdam 23.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.86%
Under 1.5 16.14%
Over 2.5 64.04%
Under 2.5 35.96%
Over 3.5 42.07%
Under 3.5 57.93%
Over 4.5 26.64%
Under 4.5 73.36%

First Half Winner

Ajax 41.52%
Draw 37.22%
Sparta Rotterdam 21.26%

Team To Score First

Ajax 59.04%
No Goal 3.74%
Sparta Rotterdam 37.22%

Corners

Over 8 61.37%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 27.57%
Over 9 49.78%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 38.63%
Over 10.5 38.64%
Under 10.5 61.36%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 57.64%
Under 1.5 42.36%
Over 2.5 31.39%
Under 2.5 68.61%
Over 3.5 14%
Under 3.5 86%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 62.78%
Under 0.5 37.22%
Over 1.5 32.11%
Under 1.5 67.89%
Over 2.5 12.59%
Under 2.5 87.41%
Over 3.5 4.15%
Under 3.5 95.85%

Score analysis

Ajax 54.11%
Draw 21.85%
Sparta Rotterdam 23.97%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 6.45%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 13.62%
Total : 54.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 3.74%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.85%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-1 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 23.97%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 4, 2025 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Daniele Rugani 52' yellowcard
  • Youri Regeer 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick van Aanholt 27'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kitolano 36'
  • goal Mohamed Nassoh 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2024 11.15am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Pelle Clement 25' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 77'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 87'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Arno Verschueren 28' goal
  • Arno Verschueren 47' goal
  • goal Chuba Akpom 65'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 88'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 89'
  • redcard Ahmetcan Kaplan 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 8' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 42' goal
  • goal Camiel Neghli 55'
  • yellowcard Jonathan de Guzman 68'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dusan Tadic 6' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 27' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 64' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 84' goal