Eredivisie
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Casper Terho 63' yellowcard
  • Vito van Crooij 64' yellowcard
  • Saïd Bakari 80' yellowcard
  • Milan Zonneveld 80' yellowcard
  • Milan Zonneveld 83' goal
  • Patrick van Aanholt 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Olivier Aertssen 45'
  • yellowcard Olivier Aertssen 46'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 73'
  • yellowcard Kaj de Rooij 81'
  • goal Kaj de Rooij 85'

Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.30pm
Heerenveen 2 - 1 Sparta
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 11.15am
PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 Ajax
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Shola Shoretire

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 52.17%
Draw 23.81%
PEC Zwolle 24.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.05% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.92% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.08% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 55.08% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.92% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 32.96% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.04% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.73%
Under 4.5 80.27%

First Half Winner

Sparta Rotterdam 41.55%
Draw 37.34%
PEC Zwolle 21.11%

Team To Score First

Sparta Rotterdam 59.63%
No Goal 5.92%
PEC Zwolle 34.45%

Corners

Over 8 67.69% (+0.13)
Equal 8 10.08%
Under 8 22.24% (-0.13)
Over 9 56.57% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 32.31% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 45.33% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 54.67% (-0.12)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 1.5 51.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.95% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 25.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.69% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.31% (+0.02)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5 60.52% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.48% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.93% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.07% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.36% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.63%
Under 3.5 97.37%

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 52.17%
Draw 23.82%
PEC Zwolle 24.02%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 10.58% (-0.01)
Total : 52.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.82%
PEC Zwolle
0-1 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 24.02%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Tobias Lauritsen 51' goal
  • goal Olivier Aertssen 48'
Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Sherel Floranus 5' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 32' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 57' goal
  • Dylan Mbayo 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick van Aanholt 74'
  • yellowcard Nick Olij 90'+6'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 3.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Mike Eerdhuijzen 17' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Lam 26'
  • yellowcard Kaj de Rooij 53'
  • yellowcard Nick Fichtinger 64'
  • goal Davy van den Berg 70'
  • yellowcard Odysseus Velanas 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Lennart Thy 82' goal
  • Apostolos Vellios 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Sam Kersten 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Kersten 13' (OG)
  • yellowcard Django Warmerdam 33'
  • yellowcard Jonathan de Guzman 54'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kitolano 57'
  • yellowcard Said Bakari 68'
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 70'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
May 11, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adil Auassar 3' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 24' goal
  • Dirk Abels 57' yellowcard
  • Lennart Thy 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 57'