Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.