Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.