Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.30pm
Feyenoord 1 - 1 Ajax
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Mika Godts

FC Twente

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
Sittard 1 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Daan Rots

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Twente win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 35.9% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-0 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Ajax 35.9% (-0.14)
Draw 25.4% (+0.04)
FC Twente 38.71% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.6% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.65% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 54.9% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.1% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 33.41% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.59% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.57% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.43% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ajax 32.46%
Draw 38.48%
FC Twente 29.06%

Team To Score First

Ajax 46.53% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.29% (+0.05)
FC Twente 47.18% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.45%
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 30.07%
Over 9 46.69%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 41.55%
Over 10.5 35.65%
Under 10.5 64.35%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 38.61% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 61.39% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 16.42% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 83.58% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.86% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.14% (+0.04)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5 72.26% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.74% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.72% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.28% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 35.9%
Draw 25.39%
FC Twente 38.71%
Ajax
1-0 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.54% (-0.04)
Total : 35.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 25.39%
FC Twente
0-1 @ 8.29% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 6.4% (+0.02)
Total : 38.71%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 26, 2025 11.15am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 18, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Jordan Henderson 28' goal
  • Wout Weghorst 90' goal
  • yellowcard Sem Steijn 40'
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 68'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Michel Vlap 42' goal
  • Gijs Besselink 55' yellowcard
  • Michel Vlap 65' goal
  • goal Davy Klaassen 59'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 67'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Josip Sutalo 5' yellowcard
  • Sivert Mannsverk 35' yellowcard
  • Brian Brobbey 59' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 81' goal
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 31'
  • yellowcard Mathias Kjolo 32'
Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Daan Rots 7' goal
  • Sem Steijn 11' goal
  • Michal Sadilek 74' yellowcard
  • Naci Unuvar 79' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 13'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 35'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 82'
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Manfred Ugalde 46' goal
  • Julio Pleguezuelo 51' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 75' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 31'