Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%).