Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
Apr 12, 2026 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Excelsior
  • Thijs Oosting 3' goal
  • Odysseus Velanas 60' goal
  • Tristan Gooijer 62' yellowcard
  • Kaj de Rooij 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas Buitink 74' yellowcard
  • goal Derensili Sanches Fernandes 16'
  • yellowcard Emil Hansson 62'
  • yellowcard Szymon Wlodarczyk 79'
  • yellowcard Rick Meissen 79'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 79'
  • goal Szymon Wlodarczyk 80'

PEC Zwolle vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.45pm
Go Ahead Eagles 5 - 0 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Shola Shoretire

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
Excelsior 0 - 2 Nijmegen
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

PEC Zwolle 41.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.24% ▲ (+0.03)
SBV Excelsior 32.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.3% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.81% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.52% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 31.63%
Draw 41.03%
SBV Excelsior 27.33%

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 48.56% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
SBV Excelsior 44.27% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.19% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 8 11.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 25.79% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 9 51.44% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 36.81% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 10.5 40.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 59.99% ▲ (+0.10)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 40.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.26% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.43% ▲ (+0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 66.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 33.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.95%
Under 3.5 96.05%

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 41.62%
Draw 26.23%
SBV Excelsior 32.13%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 41.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.23%
SBV Excelsior
0-1 @ 8.26%
1-2 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 32.13%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Excelsior
Dec 20, 2025 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
PEC Zwolle
  • Noah Naujoks 20' goal
  • Arthur Zagre 76' yellowcard
  • Irakli Yegoian 78' goal
  • goal Ryan Thomas 48'
  • yellowcard Ryan Thomas 63'
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
Apr 6, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
Excelsior
  • Lennart Thy 8' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 18' goal
  • Odysseus Velanas 66' goal
  • Anselmo Garcia McNulty 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sven Nieuwpoort 16'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 76'
  • goal Lance Duijvestijn 86'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Excelsior
Oct 22, 2023 1.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
PEC Zwolle
  • Julian Baas 39' goal
  • Troy Parrott 84' goal
  • goal Younes Namli 47'
  • goal Apostolos Vellios 66'
  • goal Lennart Thy 73'
  • goal Apostolos Vellios 81'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bram van Polen 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Excelsior
Mar 17, 2019 3.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
PEC Zwolle
  • yellowcard Gustavo Hamer 12'
  • yellowcard Bram van Polen 44'
  • goal Kingsley Ehizibue 82'
  • goal Younes Namli 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
PEC Zwolle
Oct 6, 2018 6.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)
Excelsior
  • Mike van Duinen 23' goal
  • Thomas Lam 55' goal
  • Gustavo Hamer 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 13'
  • yellowcard Luigi Bruins 54'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Burnet 60'
Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle
Apr 14, 2018 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)
Excelsior
  • Youness Mokhtar 17' goal
  • Philippe Sandler 38' yellowcard
  • Kingsley Ehizibue 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jurgen Mattheij 37'
  • goal Mike van Duinen 57'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 84'
  • yellowcard Anouar Hadouir 93'

Form Data

Go Ahead Eagles 5 - 0 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 NAC Breda
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Groningen
Sparta 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 Ajax
Utrecht 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Excelsior 0 - 2 Nijmegen
Heracles 1 - 1 Excelsior
Feyenoord 2 - 1 Excelsior
Excelsior 1 - 2 Heerenveen
Excelsior 0 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sittard 2 - 1 Excelsior