Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Thijs Oosting 22' goal
  • Odysseus Velanas 24' goal
  • Kaj de Rooij 58' yellowcard
  • Nick Fichtinger 58' yellowcard
  • Olivier Aertssen 79' yellowcard
  • Damian van der Haar 87' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Nassoh 67'
  • yellowcard André Ayew 68'
  • yellowcard Brahim Ghalidi 68'
  • yellowcard Juho Talvitie 68'
  • yellowcard Pepijn Reulen 81'
  • yellowcard Pepijn Reulen 82'
  • yellowcard Enes Mahmutovic 87'

PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2026 7.00pm
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Groningen
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Shola Shoretire

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 3.45pm
Go Ahead Eagles 6 - 0 NAC Breda
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

PEC Zwolle 46.64% (-0.04)
Draw 25.83% (+0.03)
NAC Breda 27.56% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.44% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.56% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 49.06% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.22% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 72.78%
Over 4.5 15.11% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.89% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

PEC Zwolle 36.5%
Draw 40.78%
NAC Breda 22.72%

Team To Score First

PEC Zwolle 54.55% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.53% (-0.01)
NAC Breda 37.92%

Corners

Over 8 64.26% (-0.18)
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 25.01% (+0.19)
Over 9 52.73% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.02)
Under 9 35.74% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 41.4% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 58.6% (+0.15)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 1.5 43.65% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.35% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.07% (+0.01)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5 62.03% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 37.97% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 28.59% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.41% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.08% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 89.92% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.85% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.15% (-0.02)

Score analysis

PEC Zwolle 46.64%
Draw 25.83%
NAC Breda 27.56%
PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 6.77% (-0.02)
Total : 46.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.83%
NAC Breda
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.69% (+0.03)
Total : 27.56%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 4, 2025 11.15am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Kamal Sowah 1' yellowcard
  • Jan Van den Bergh 27' yellowcard
  • Cherrion Valerius 64' yellowcard
  • Kacper Kostorz 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Anouar El Azzouzi 20'
  • goal Younes Namli 54'
  • goal Odysseus Velanas 83'
  • goal Kaj de Rooij 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT MAC³PARK Stadion
  • Kaj de Rooij 81' goal
  • Anouar El Azzouzi 86' yellowcard
  • goal Elias Mar Omarsson 54'
  • yellowcard Boy Kemper 75'
  • goal Elias Mar Omarsson 78'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bielica 90'+6'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dean Huiberts 46' goal
  • Lennart Thy 84' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Younes Taha 32'
  • goal Younes Taha 45'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
  • Mitchell te Vrede 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kenneth Paal 90'