Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.