Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

SBV Excelsior vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.00pm
Heracles 1 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Noah Naujoks

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Bryan Linssen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEC win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 27.91% and a draw has a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win is 1-0 (6.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.59%).

Result

SBV Excelsior 27.91% (+0.11)
Draw 23.92% (-0.03)
NEC 48.17% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.86% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.46% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 22.54% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 55.02% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 44.98% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 33.57% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 66.43% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 20.13% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 79.87% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 29.64%
Draw 38.46%
NEC 31.9%

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 44.28% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.19% (-0.07)
NEC 49.53% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.44%
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 24.87%
Over 9 52.94%
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 35.56%
Over 10.5 41.63%
Under 10.5 58.37%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 31.7% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 68.3% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 13.02% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.98% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.43% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.57% (-0.03)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 77.78% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.22% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.89% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.11% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.82% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.18% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.01% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.99% (-0.04)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 27.91%
Draw 23.92%
NEC 48.18%
SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 6.42%
2-1 @ 6.36% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.76% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.16% (+0.03)
Total : 27.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.92%
NEC
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.96% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.74% (+0.03)
Total : 48.18%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 9, 2025 3.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Lance Duijvestijn 23' yellowcard
  • Siebe Horemans 72' redcard
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 60'
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 64'
  • yellowcard Mathias Ross 64'
  • yellowcard Kodai Sano 78'
  • goal Rober 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 11.15am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Youri Baas 36' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 44' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 60' goal
  • Pedro Marques 83' yellowcard
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 12'
  • goal Casper Widell 53'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 73'
  • yellowcard Serano Seymor 84'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 90'+9'
  • goal Oscar Uddenas 90'+10'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 44'
  • goal Souffian Elkarouani 73'
  • goal Anthony Musaba 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Landry Dimata 59' goal
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 88'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mats Wieffer 48' yellowcard
  • Joel Zwarts 63' goal
  • Joel Zwarts 79' goal
  • goal Javier Vet 16'