Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2026 8.00pm
Asito Stadion

Heracles vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 1.30pm
Heerenveen 4 - 1 Heracles
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jizz Hornkamp

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
Ajax 1 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Heracles has a probability of 30.57% and a draw has a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Heracles win is 1-0 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result

Heracles 30.57% (-0.08)
Draw 25.15%
Ajax 44.31% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.19% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.81% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.59% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.35% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 66.65% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 19.46% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 80.54% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Heracles 29% (-0.20)
Draw 37.66% (+0.06)
Ajax 33.34% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Heracles 42.89% (-0.05)
No Goal 6.33% (+0.03)
Ajax 50.78% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.24% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.25% (-0.02)
Under 8 27.51% (+0.06)
Over 9 49.45% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.04)
Under 9 38.76% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 38.14% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 61.86% (-0.04)

Heracles Goals

Over 1.5 33.9% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 66.1% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 13.27% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 86.73% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.32% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.68% (+0.07)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 75.86% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 24.14% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.07%
Under 2.5 78.93%
Over 3.5 8.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.8% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Heracles 30.58%
Draw 25.14%
Ajax 44.32%
Heracles
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-1 @ 7.01% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.12% (-0.05)
Total : 30.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.33% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 25.14%
Ajax
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 8%
Total : 44.32%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 3.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Feb 16, 2025 3.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Mika Godts 17' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 42' goal
  • Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 56' goal
  • Davy Klaassen 66' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 1.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Erve Asito
  • Luka Kulenovic 12' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 14' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 28' goal
  • Luka Kulenovic 76' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 84' redcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 25'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 34'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 34'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 36'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 37'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 63'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 82'
  • yellowcard Christian Rasmussen 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Polman Stadion
  • Jizz Hornkamp 12' goal
  • Brian De Keersmaecker 15' yellowcard
  • Mario Engels 60' goal
  • Sava-Arangel Cestic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Brobbey 16'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 55'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 57'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 81'
  • goal Kristian Hlynsson 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Jakov Medic 45'+8' goal
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 61' yellowcard
  • Devyne Rensch 74' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kudus 75' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 85' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Justin Hoogma 10'
  • goal Mario Engels 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Anas Ouahim 56'
  • yellowcard Mario Engels 58'
  • yellowcard Thomas Bruns 74'
  • yellowcard Bryan Limbombe 88'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Feb 6, 2022 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edson Alvarez 7' yellowcard
  • Antony 11' yellowcard
  • Davy Klaassen 22' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 55' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaj Sierhuis 73'
  • yellowcard Navajo Bakboord 80'