/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Sava-Arangel Cestic
46'
-
Luka Kulenovic
54'
-
Erik Ahlstrand
55'
-
Djevencio van der Kust
55'
-
Walid Ould-Chikh
65'
-
Mika Godts
16'
-
Steven Berghuis
17'
-
Steven Berghuis
47'
-
Takehiro Tomiyasu
66'
-
Oliver Edvardsen
84'
-
Sean Steur
84'
-
Aaron Bouwman
87'
Heracles vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-0 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result
Heracles
30.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
25.15%
Ajax
44.28%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
56.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.08%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
22.92%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
54.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
45.48%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
33.25%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
66.75%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
19.37%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
80.63%
▲
(+0.09)
First Half Winner
Heracles
29%
Draw
37.66%
Ajax
33.34%
Team To Score First
Heracles
42.89%
No Goal
6.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Ajax
50.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
60.23%
▼
(-1.02)
Equal 8
11.29%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
28.48%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 9
48.49%
▼
(-0.97)
Equal 9
11.74%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 9
39.77%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 10.5
37.32%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 10.5
62.68%
▲
(+0.83)
Heracles Goals
Over 1.5
33.84%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
66.16%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
13.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
86.76%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
4.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
95.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
75.8%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
24.2%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
45.21%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
54.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
21%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
79%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
8.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
91.84%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Heracles
30.54%
Draw
25.14%
Ajax
44.28%
Heracles
1-0
@
7.43%
2-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.54%
2-1 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.54%
Draw
1-1
@
11.26%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.14%
0-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.14%
Ajax
0-1
@
9.11%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 44.28%
1-2 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 44.28%
Head to Head
-
Luka Kulenovic
12'
-
Brian De Keersmaecker
14'
-
Mario Engels
28'
-
Luka Kulenovic
76'
-
Brian De Keersmaecker
84'
-
Davy Klaassen
25'
-
Bertrand Traore
34'
-
Jorrel Hato
34'
-
Brian Brobbey
36'
-
Jordan Henderson
37'
-
Wout Weghorst
63'
-
Wout Weghorst
82'
-
Christian Rasmussen
88'
-
Jakov Medic
45'+8'
-
Benjamin Tahirovic
61'
-
Devyne Rensch
74'
-
Mohammed Kudus
75'
-
Steven Bergwijn
85'
-
Steven Bergwijn
90'+6'
-
Justin Hoogma
10'
-
Mario Engels
45'+5'
-
Anas Ouahim
56'
-
Mario Engels
58'
-
Thomas Bruns
74'
-
Bryan Limbombe
88'