Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Mika Godts

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 8.00pm
PSV 6 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 30.45% and a draw has a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Ajax win is 2-1 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.58%).

Result

Ajax 30.45%
Draw 20.98%
PSV Eindhoven 48.63% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.71%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.71% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 13.29% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 68.7% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 31.3% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 47.64%
Under 3.5 52.36%
Over 4.5 31.42%
Under 4.5 68.58%

First Half Winner

Ajax 28.7%
Draw 34.45%
PSV Eindhoven 36.85%

Team To Score First

Ajax 41.18%
No Goal 2.97%
PSV Eindhoven 55.85%

Corners

Over 8 56.91%
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 31.84%
Over 9 45.54%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 43.09%
Over 10.5 34.95%
Under 10.5 65.05%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 40.16% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.84% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.51% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.49% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.26%
Under 3.5 92.74%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 80.46% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 19.54% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 55.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 44.14% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.89% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.82%
Under 3.5 86.18%

Score analysis

Ajax 30.45%
Draw 20.98%
PSV Eindhoven 48.63%
Ajax
2-1 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.54%
2-0 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.77%
Total : 30.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 2.97%
3-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.98%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 4.92%
0-3 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 13.33%
Total : 48.63%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Noa Lang 76' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 35'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 36'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 58'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 43' goal
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 66' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 70' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 74' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 18'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flamingo 23'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 54'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 76'
  • yellowcard Luuk de Jong 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Berghuis 19' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 26' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 34'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 72'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 76'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Hirving Lozano 20' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 49' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 52' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 60' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 72' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 90' yellowcard
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 10'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 13'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 40'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 62'
KNVB Beker
Apr 30, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Jarrad Branthwaite 42' goal
  • goal Thorgan Hazard 67'