Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.