Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2026 5.45pm
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.45pm
NAC Breda 0 - 0 Sparta
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.30pm
PSV 4 - 3 Utrecht
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Ricardo Pepi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.09%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 26.58% and a draw has a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 2-1 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.85%).

Result

Sparta Rotterdam 26.58% (+0.04)
Draw 22.33% (-0.05)
PSV Eindhoven 51.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.58% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.91% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 18.09% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 61.13% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 38.87% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 39.65% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 60.35% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 24.85% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 75.15% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Sparta Rotterdam 27.8%
Draw 37.27%
PSV Eindhoven 34.93%

Team To Score First

Sparta Rotterdam 41.16% (+0.01)
No Goal 4.48% (-0.03)
PSV Eindhoven 54.36% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 74.72%
Equal 8 8.24%
Under 8 17.04%
Over 9 65.11%
Equal 9 9.61%
Under 9 25.28%
Over 10.5 54.77%
Under 10.5 45.23%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 1.5 32.98% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.02% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.8% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.33% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.67% (-0.04)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 81.06% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 18.94% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 53.79% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 46.21% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 28.21% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 71.79% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 12.34% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 87.66% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 26.57%
Draw 22.34%
PSV Eindhoven 51.09%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 6.37%
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.04% (+0.03)
Total : 26.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.01)
Total : 22.34%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.4% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.87% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.05% (+0.05)
Total : 51.09%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 9, 2025 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 34
May 18, 2025 1.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Gjivai Zechiel 42' yellowcard
  • Gjivai Zechiel 52' goal
  • goal Ivan Perisic 27'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 43'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 58'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 64'
  • goal Malik Tillman 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Arno Verschueren 34' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 37' goal
  • Peter Bosz 48' yellowcard
  • Matteo Dams 49' redcard
  • goal Tobias Lauritsen 10'
  • yellowcard Pelle Clement 47'
  • yellowcard Djevencio van der Kust 73'
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 11.15am
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Said Bakari 19' goal
  • Johan Bakayoko 26' goal
  • Olivier Boscagli 67' goal
  • Jordan Teze 78' goal
  • goal Metinho 8'
  • goal Olivier Boscagli 29' (OG)
  • yellowcard Tobias Lauritsen 66'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 3.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Jonathan de Guzman 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Charles-Andreas Brym 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Camiel Neghli 54' yellowcard
  • goal Malik Tillman 51'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 59'
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 80'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 88'
  • yellowcard Sergino Dest 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 74'