Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 5, 2026 3.45pm
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.00pm
PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 NAC Breda
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 5.45pm
Sparta 2 - 0 Volendam
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Shunsuke Mito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NAC Breda win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam has a probability of 36.57% and a draw has a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).

Result

NAC Breda 38.78% (+0.04)
Draw 24.66%
Sparta Rotterdam 36.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.01% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.99% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 57.99% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.31% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.69% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.67% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.33% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 33.22%
Draw 39.14%
Sparta Rotterdam 27.64%

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 51.01% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.17% (-0.01)
Sparta Rotterdam 43.82%

Corners

Over 8 64.04%
Equal 8 10.67%
Under 8 25.29%
Over 9 52.61%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 35.96%
Over 10.5 41.4%
Under 10.5 58.6%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 42.47% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.53% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.19% (-0.02)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5 72.26% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.74% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.21% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

NAC Breda 38.79%
Draw 24.66%
Sparta Rotterdam 36.56%
NAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99%
Other @ 6.52% (+0.02)
Total : 38.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.66%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 2.96% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.07% (+0.02)
Total : 36.56%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Dec 7, 2025 3.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shunsuke Mito 26' goal
  • Julian Baas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brahim Ghalidi 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Leo Sauer 63' goal
  • Leo Greiml 73' redcard
  • goal Carel Eiting 12'
  • yellowcard Tobias Lauritsen 67'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Nassoh 80'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Camiel Neghli 24' yellowcard
  • Boyd Reith 68' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jan Van den Bergh 45'+4'
  • goal Boy Kemper 75'
  • yellowcard Boyd Lucassen 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
  • Mohamed Nassoh 50' goal
  • Djevencio van der Kust 81' yellowcard
  • Julian Baas 89' goal
  • goal Casper Staring 20'
Eredivisie
Apr 18, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)
  • Paco van Moorsel 59' yellowcard
  • Deroy Duarte 61' goal
  • Stijn Spierings 85' goal
  • Sander Fischer 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Nijholt 53'
  • goal Sadiq Umar 73'
  • yellowcard Rai Vloet 88'
Eredivisie
Aug 25, 2017 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Manu Garcia 26' yellowcard
  • Pablo Mari 42' goal
  • Rai Vloet 51' goal
  • Mounir El Allouchi 61' yellowcard
  • Thomas Agyepong 91' yellowcard
  • Karol Mets 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Dobson 67'
  • goal Ragnar Ache 70'
  • goal Ragnar Ache 84'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 87'